Comments on: The Armories of the Latter Day Laputas, Part 4 http://chronopause.com/index.php/2011/07/07/the-armories-of-the-latter-day-laputas-part-4-2/ A revolution in time. Thu, 11 Apr 2013 01:11:28 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.5.1 By: Abelard Lindsey http://chronopause.com/index.php/2011/07/07/the-armories-of-the-latter-day-laputas-part-4-2/#comment-2456 Abelard Lindsey Tue, 12 Jul 2011 16:51:33 +0000 http://chronopause.com/?p=834#comment-2456 The current wave of transhumanist/singularity organizations are the modern day equivalent to the numerous space organizations that existed during the 1980′s. I remember some friends and I joked about starting a new space advocacy organization called YASO (Yet Another Space Organization) in the late 80′s.

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By: Abelard Lindsey http://chronopause.com/index.php/2011/07/07/the-armories-of-the-latter-day-laputas-part-4-2/#comment-2455 Abelard Lindsey Tue, 12 Jul 2011 16:41:44 +0000 http://chronopause.com/?p=834#comment-2455 Maybe this speaks to the deeply ingrained fear humans have of falling?

This is most certainly the case. It is unnatural to travel in a metal tube at 40,000 feet above the ground. However, this does make a wonderful pithy comeback to someone who says radical life extension and cryonics are “unnatural”.

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By: Abelard Lindsey http://chronopause.com/index.php/2011/07/07/the-armories-of-the-latter-day-laputas-part-4-2/#comment-2454 Abelard Lindsey Tue, 12 Jul 2011 16:38:52 +0000 http://chronopause.com/?p=834#comment-2454 I did not know these things about Eric Klein. I talked to him over the phone once (at the insistence of a good friend of mine) and was not impressed at all. He struck me as the geeky, fantasy type and, having been around this type in the late 80′s, was not interested in being around this kind of people any more (I’m at a time in life where I feel the need to do things and not fuck about).

I had heard about his ocean city-state concept. I also heard he had made money in the stock market during the 80′s. I think Life-boat is one of these dreamy things that are common to the SF/space community. I pay it no attention for this reason. I think the same about IEET and just about every other transhumanist/singulatarian organization as well. There’s a reason why I’m not a part of these milieus any more.

Yes, I think organizational screw-ups are the most significant existential threats we face over the next 100 years. We’ve had no nuclear war or global warming, but we’ve had Bob Nelson and the Chatsworth disaster, which was in summer of 1979 (not 1976 as mentioned previously).

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By: admin http://chronopause.com/index.php/2011/07/07/the-armories-of-the-latter-day-laputas-part-4-2/#comment-2449 admin Tue, 12 Jul 2011 09:38:36 +0000 http://chronopause.com/?p=834#comment-2449 Mark, actually I think you got it right when you said, “The face without pain or fear or guilt,” and you probably shouldn’t have laughed, because that is the perfect description of a socipath. To feel those things you have to empathy for others. Eric was once (briefly) a financial advisor to Alcor over my strenuous objections. He was supposedly making fantastic returns on investments, and some people in Alcor had invested in his scheme. My understanding of the thing was that it was a Ponzi racket. When it unravelled, he was booted out of that position posthaste. I remember him quite well as a very nerdy, highly intelligent and very sincere young man who gave me the creeps almost from day one.

How does he do it? Simple. Eric was very earnest and vey bright. He’s a quick study and he has a knack for identifying BIG IDEAS that meet some of the most fundamental needs in dissatisfied, anxious and frustrated people. He knows how to spot a dream folks are yearning to have turned into reality. Intimidated and fearful of the madness of nation-states – well, Eric has an ocean colony for you. Afarid of terminal downsides to the “Singularity,” well he has an answr for you there, too. I’ve often thought that had Eric come into cryonics earlier, before some semblance of a sound reality was extant, he would have picked that as his vehicle. I’ve seen a lot of con men and nutters in cryonics over the years, but no one with Eric’s style – until recently, when I met David Styles. The most material difference is that Eric was very, very clever and he never lied aboutthe little stuff. The only lies Eric told were the ones you discovered at the end, after the money was gone. Clever boy, Eric Klein.

I suppose I should say “clever man,” now. But somehow I just can’t bring myself to. I should also point out that as far as I know from the little I’ve seen, there is no fraud in Lifeboat, per se. I don’t see any specific promises; no bunkers with nanofiltrastion systems, no facilities to start salting away human knowkledge or other survival critical information. It seems to be doomsday a think tank and I think that’s likely legal. Like I said, very clever boy, that Eric Klein. Oh yes, one more thing, the success of people like this is also to a great extent dependent upon their remarkable ability to identify people who will be uniquely susceptible to their message. That is a very rare gift. If you can do that, you are well over 50% of the way there. Boyish sincerity and wunderkind intelligence are also plenty effective – in many situatins much more so than alpha male tactics. There were a million blue haired ladies who made Liberace and Wayne Newton rich. So, even creepy pseudo-boyishness can work. You’ve just gotta know your market, or, should I say, “marks?”– Mike Darwin

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By: unperson http://chronopause.com/index.php/2011/07/07/the-armories-of-the-latter-day-laputas-part-4-2/#comment-2448 unperson Tue, 12 Jul 2011 09:37:23 +0000 http://chronopause.com/?p=834#comment-2448 Back in the day, when I was in the military, I flew all over the world, just about. Never a qualm.

But I have not flown in decades. But I could see how you could develop a fear of flying.

Ocassionally I have a dream where I am falling or about to fall. There is some primitive, atavistic “don’t fall!” alarm system that we humans have that operates autonomously, out of conscious control. I suppose we inherited it from our tree dwelling ancestors.

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By: admin http://chronopause.com/index.php/2011/07/07/the-armories-of-the-latter-day-laputas-part-4-2/#comment-2447 admin Tue, 12 Jul 2011 09:11:14 +0000 http://chronopause.com/?p=834#comment-2447 I’ve hear this story many times – sometimes from pilots and others who have flown for years. Maybe this speaks to the deeply ingrained fear humans have of falling? — Mike Darwin

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By: Mark Plus http://chronopause.com/index.php/2011/07/07/the-armories-of-the-latter-day-laputas-part-4-2/#comment-2434 Mark Plus Mon, 11 Jul 2011 23:31:37 +0000 http://chronopause.com/?p=834#comment-2434 Reminds me of someone else we keep hearing about.

Back in Klien’s seasteading days, one time Mark Voelker and I talked about him, and Voelker said that Klien must think of himself as John Galt. I responded with, “The face without pain or fear or guilt,” and we both burst out laughing at the absurdity of the idea. How do these nerdy guys pull off these scams, when they lack the usual characteristics associated with “charisma” and alpha-maleness? L. Ron Hubbard seemed to fit that profile as well, from what I’ve read about him.

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By: admin http://chronopause.com/index.php/2011/07/07/the-armories-of-the-latter-day-laputas-part-4-2/#comment-2433 admin Mon, 11 Jul 2011 23:11:50 +0000 http://chronopause.com/?p=834#comment-2433 You write: “The same people who obsess over these kinds of events completely ignore the more prosaic internal events that are very likely over the next 100 years. These include decay and corruption of institutions as well as financial gamesmanship as well as outright scams. The Lifeboat Foundation is an example of this kind of thinking.”
I think you’ll find the latest article here of interest, because it addresses what I think is the biggest risk of all; fucking it up ourselves. It’s what most enterprises do to themselves. For brand new enterprises a good part of the failure mode is just being incompetent to do the task at hand in some critical way. That can be anything from picking a bad location, to serving lousy food if you are in the hospitality business. Starting a business is an enormously complicated undertaking; advertising, location, the whole production process, maintaining physical plant, security, insurance, regulation… It is amazing that any businesses succeed and not at all surprising that the 5 year mortality rate is ~95.

I guess it shouldn’t be surprising then that businesses continue to die at a good rate such that by the 100 year mark, virtually none are left. It’s a complex undertaking interacting in fantastically sophisticated ways with the world around it. Sooner or later you are going to screw up and fold. That’s certainly the message from the for-profit sector.

In the non-profit sector, longevity is closely correlated with the ability of the institution to persuade its members that the institution is absolutely essential to their personal immortality AND to the stability and wellbeing of the entire social-political structure. This relaxes the normal market constraints on bad behavior for such institutions because if you mishandle money, molest children, or launch an Inquisition or two; some fraction of the members will always step up to the plate and cover the resulting losses. The membership has a proprietary stake in the enterprise. By contrast, if you run a hobby store, a restaurant or grocery store if you molest children, serve tainted food, or just run your business incompetently, you’re out of business. There are other venues who can serve the same need and your customers have no proprietary interest in your undertaking. All you need do to fail is to cause dissatisfaction greater than the inconvenience of going elsewhere will be if you are shuttered.

I read this while I was in London: http://ieet.org/index.php/IEET/more/loosemore20110308. I kept thinking to myself, “No, sorry, but no wild conspiracy theories are required here. All you need to know is that Eric Klein defrauded his friends and colleagues out of substantial sums of money when he was a much younger man, and was forced to make restitution. The Lifeboat Foundation operates in a way consistent with an enterprise whose function is to make a comfortable living for its operator in exchange for fantasies. It’s entertainment, sort of pay-as-you science fiction with a potential real world twist. In that respect, it isn’t much different than any of the countless science-future-apocalypse books and movies that are churned out every year. Certainly, it offers a lot more sophisticated science (some of it quite credible). As long as you don’t expect the Lifeboat Foundation to actually do anything physical or concrete, and as long as you understand that it pays Eric Klein money, well, then you understand everything. “
– Mike Darwin

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By: Abelard Lindsey http://chronopause.com/index.php/2011/07/07/the-armories-of-the-latter-day-laputas-part-4-2/#comment-2402 Abelard Lindsey Fri, 08 Jul 2011 17:11:06 +0000 http://chronopause.com/?p=834#comment-2402 I suffered a bout of fear of flying about 10 years ago. It was rather inconvenient as I was flying all over Asia as well as back and forth across the Pacific at the time. It gradually went away over a 2 year period and I was fine. Fear of flying can be a real pain in the ass when you fly a lot on business.

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By: Abelard Lindsey http://chronopause.com/index.php/2011/07/07/the-armories-of-the-latter-day-laputas-part-4-2/#comment-2401 Abelard Lindsey Fri, 08 Jul 2011 17:06:46 +0000 http://chronopause.com/?p=834#comment-2401 I notice that in evaluating risk, people tend to focus on dramatic external events (global warming, world war, etc.) which, in my opinion, are unlikely. The same people who obsess over these kinds of events completely ignore the more prosaic internal events that are very likely over the next 100 years. These include decay and corruption of institutions as well as financial gamesmanship as well as outright scams. The Lifeboat Foundation is an example of this kind of thinking.

Global warming is a fraud, peak oil is unlikely, and even a global WWII style conflict is unlikely in the future. What is certain is that existing institutions such as Alcor have internal issues that create problems and that con artists and flakes will involve themselves in cryonics (and other activities). We have already seen this in the form of Robert Nelson and Avi Ben Abraham. The former nearly proved fatal (no pun intended) to cryonics. Financial scandals are everywhere. Everything from Enron to the sub-prime mortgage mess. Need I say anything about the exploding debt of the U.S. government? Europe and Japan are in even worse shape than us.

I think the threat of external “existential” threats have been overhyped. But the dangers from internal problems in any organization have and are completely ignored on a regular basis. The patients who thawed out at Chatsworth were not wiped out by a global war or a nuclear meltdown. Instead, they were wiped out by an unscrupulous con-man. These are the real threats we face over the next 100 years.

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